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2012 Tiebreaker Probabilities - Last updated Oct 3, 10:28 PM Central

What are the chances of a tiebreaker scenario determining the playoff contenders? Here we list the chances of each possible scenario occurring. The probabilities are calculated for both "smart" and "dumb" simulation modes.

2012 "Smart" Tiebreaker Probabilities
American 2-Team H2H* 2-Team Playoff 3-Team Playoff 4-Team Playoff 5-Team Playoff
East 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Central 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
West 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wild card 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
AL Total 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National 2-Team H2H* 2-Team Playoff 3-Team Playoff 4-Team Playoff 5-Team Playoff
East 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Central 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
West 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wild card 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NL Total 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

* H2H implies the tie is settled using head-to-head regular season results or divisional records


2012 "Dumb" Tiebreaker Probabilities
American 2-Team H2H* 2-Team Playoff 3-Team Playoff 4-Team Playoff 5-Team Playoff
East 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Central 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
West 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wild card 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
AL Total 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National 2-Team H2H* 2-Team Playoff 3-Team Playoff 4-Team Playoff 5-Team Playoff
East 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Central 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
West 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wild card 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NL Total 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

* H2H implies the tie is settled using head-to-head regular season results or divisional records



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