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coolstandings.com - Know where your team really stands!

Your team gets off to a great start - what are the chances they hold on and win their division? What if there are lots of teams bunched up in the standings, fighting for a wild card spot? What you'd really like to know is what chance your team has of winning its division, winning a wildcard, or just making the playoffs either way.

coolstandings.com calculates exactly that, for EVERY team, EVERY day. The following "coolstats" are updated daily:

DIV - % chance each team has of winning division
WC - % chance each team has of winning a wild card
POFF - % chance each team has of making the playoffs


A DIV of 50.0 means your team has a 50% chance of winning the division. A WC of 100.0 means you've got a wild card spot wrapped up. And a POFF of 0.0 means "wait till next year!"

How do we calculate these statistics? Basically we simulate the rest of the season millions of times, based on every team's performance to date and its remaining schedule. We then look at how many "seasons" a team won its division or won a wildcard, and voila - we have our numbers.

The trick, of course, is to determine what chance each team has of beating every other team. Our method is to use simple team statistics (e.g. points for and points against) to predict how each team will fare against all others. For those of you familiar with baseball prediction, we use a variation of the Bill James "Pythagorean Theorem" to predict results. Daryl Morey adapted this theorem to better reflect football scores, and we further refine how we use the theorem. Pretty smart, huh? That's why we call this prediction mode "Smart mode".

Another method is to simply assume that any team has a 50-50 shot of beating any other team. You could flip a coin to decide who would win each game. This method isn't too realistic, but it usually gives a particular Chicago team a better shot at the division. For lack of a better term, we call this prediction mode "Dumb mode".

For the playoffs, we calculate a different set of coolstats:

WIN - % chance team has of winning playoff game
WC - % chance team has of winning wild card game
DIV - % chance team has of winning divisional game
CONF - % chance team has of winning conference championship
SB - % chance team has of winning the Grand Finale


For teams with a first round bye, WC is not applicable.

You can see a summary of all playoff team coolstats in our playoff picture.

If you have any questions about either the playoffs or the regular season, check our FAQ page.

So keep track of your team, and check back with us daily to see how yesterday's scores changed the playoff landscape!

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Have any questions? Check out our list of frequently asked questions, or you can email us instead.

Thanks for your interest and support!


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